Statistical model shows that Fuego Del Sol has a 0.0019% chance of beating Miro

On tonight’s debut edition of AEW Rampage, Miro will be defending the TNT Title against Fuego Del Sol. The match stipulation is that Del Sol, who is 1-43 in AEW, will earn a full-time AEW contract if he defeats Miro.

Based on a statistical model, Reddit user zsghost determined that Del Sol has a 0.0019% chance of beating Miro. Here is the post that explains how zsghost arrived at that percentage number…